James Lynch, fixed income manager at Aegon Asset Management: ‘A seismic political result overnight. Not enough superlatives to describe the collapse of the Conservative vote, the worst in history. However, this was not unexpected. No reaction in the currency and no reaction in the Gilt market.’ |
‘Given the size of the majority for the Labour party, Keir Starmer will be the most powerful leader since Tony Blair. He will be able deliver significant change for the country and push through many reforms. But the election was won for Labour on basically a ‘change’ vote, being the anti-tory vote rather than an enthusiastic endorsement for a labour mandate, which we can see in the vote % rather than the number of seats. In the election campaign we did not see Labour offer a significant shift in major policy areas, especially economic policy. We may look back in 5 years time and recognise the impact of this result had on the UK and the economy but right now we simply don’t know what that will be.’
‘This is one of the reasons there has been no reaction in the market since the election was called and none since the election result became clear overnight. It’s difficult to argue much will change in short order, therefore the market carries on regardless.’
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