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LATEST EDITION - OUT NOW
Copyright © 2026 Actuarial Post. Created by Zero-One Design Ltd
The turn of the year invites a flurry of articles containing predictions, forecasts and “things to look out for”. Yet seasoned investors know that forecasting is, at best, an entertaining parlour game and, at worst, a distraction from sensible long-term allocation decisions. Still, it is impossible to ignore the background noise: record-high equity indices and narrow credit spreads are accompanied with ominous headlines about weak economies, asset bubbles and geopolitical fracture.
As rates soften across multiple classes, capital and risk teams are becoming increasingly involved in management decision-making and often asked to assess and quantify future risks. In our December roundtable, senior professionals from leading insurers and Lloyd’s syndicates discussed what the current cycle means for pricing discipline, capital efficiency, modelling choices, and validation practices, and how teams can respond with confidence. This article distils the most actionable takeaways.