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Moving beyond box-ticking, scenario analysis empowers organizations to anticipate disruption, allocate resources smartly and build lasting resilience. Across industries, leaders face a landscape that is more volatile and interconnected than ever. From cyber-physical convergence to climate extremes, geopolitical fragmentation, and technology-enabled threats, disruption is no longer occasional, it is the baseline. As the materiality continues to add up, internal and external stakeholders are asking sharper questions
The Pension Schemes Bill has set out a roadmap that will lead to consolidation within the pension schemes market in the run up to the 2030s. The combined impact of the value for money framework and the scale and asset requirements within the Bill seem likely to lead to continued consolidation of single employer trust-based schemes into multi-employer schemes. They may well also spark a new phase of consolidation within the master trust market.
For years, investment-grade credit has formed a fundamental part of investment strategies for DB schemes seeking to hedge movements in insurer pricing before securing a bulk annuity. This made sense when insurers themselves were heavy buyers of corporate bonds, but that dynamic has shifted. This shift can be partly explained by the capital charges insurers face; more specifically, the combination of current market dynamics and the capital charge framework makes gilts significantly more appealing.